Peter Attia· MD
in this analysis if you compare a smoker to a non-smoker and ask the question what is the probability of that smoker dying in the coming 12 months from any and all causes the answer is it's 41% greater than the nonsmoker
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The headline is broadly defensible, but the qualifications matter. Effect sizes vary by population, the strongest claims rest on shorter trials, and credible voices push back on how it's typically framed.
in this analysis if you compare a smoker to a non-smoker and ask the question what is the probability of that smoker dying in the coming 12 months from any and all causes the answer is it's 41% greater than the nonsmoker
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Bookmarking — the dossier-vs-overview split is the right call. Most of the time I want overview; sometimes I want receipts.
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smoking is 50% uh increase being weak relative to being strong is about 250%
Smoking is 50% uh increase.