The headline is broadly defensible, but the qualifications matter. Effect sizes vary by population, the strongest claims rest on shorter trials, and credible voices push back on how it's typically framed.
there's a lot of debate about what the true case fatality rate is and in the case of the corona virus that we're dealing with you can only know that when you really know what the denominator is when you really know the number of people that have the disease and my fear is that frankly that number is everything and we're not working hard enough to understand it
Every Sunday: the week’s new conflicts and verdict changes — and nothing else.
Native comments, Twitter mentions, and Reddit threads about this claim — surfaced together so the conversation isn't fragmented across platforms.
Bookmarking — the dossier-vs-overview split is the right call. Most of the time I want overview; sometimes I want receipts.
Would love a "what would change this verdict" RSS feed. Sign me up if it exists.
The CFR has been really hard to calculate because we have a severity bias because testing has been so heterogeneous around countries so what I do is try to look at a place that's tested extensively and use that as kind of a barometer and right now it used to be South Korea that tested and now it seems to be Germany is doing the best testing and you're also looking at modeling studies so some of the modeling studies from Imperial College put the case fatality ratio at 0.66% Germany looks like it's at a 0.3 something percent yeah I think 0.37 this morning