The headline is broadly defensible, but the qualifications matter. Effect sizes vary by population, the strongest claims rest on shorter trials, and credible voices push back on how it's typically framed.
when people say I'm 95% confident in this estimate what does that mean do you have an intuitive sense for that for what for what that is most people don't I think it's intuitive that the more confidence you are so as you go from being 50% confident in something to 70% confident to 90% confident to 95% confident you would have to include a larger and larger range
Every Sunday: the week’s new conflicts and verdict changes — and nothing else.
Native comments, Twitter mentions, and Reddit threads about this claim — surfaced together so the conversation isn't fragmented across platforms.
Bookmarking — the dossier-vs-overview split is the right call. Most of the time I want overview; sometimes I want receipts.
Would love a "what would change this verdict" RSS feed. Sign me up if it exists.
Imagine you've got a huge confidence interval is what we call it so big confidence interval meaning instead of 0.4 to 1.2 it was like 40 reduction at 0.4 or it went it went all the way out to like say a thousand he would say like that's a huge uncertainty interval