Direct evidence is thin. The claim is plausible and aligns with adjacent findings, but there isn't yet a body of high-quality work that would let us call it well-supported on its own terms.
it's just very hard for me to predict timing um and I think Bill Gates has has a quote similar to this you know I do think within some point in the next 100 years we'll get to this point whether it's the next 20 years or not and exactly what percentage of individuals we will have been able to serve I'm not sure
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Bookmarking — the dossier-vs-overview split is the right call. Most of the time I want overview; sometimes I want receipts.
Would love a "what would change this verdict" RSS feed. Sign me up if it exists.
what I'm not sure of is on the therapeutic point of view to what we've been talking about how much of that we will have realized within 20 years while I'm optimistic we will have gotten a lot of that done I'm not sure how how much it will penetrate