Peter Attia· MD
15 to 20 years with at least a billion dollars that's right
The headline is broadly defensible, but the qualifications matter. Effect sizes vary by population, the strongest claims rest on shorter trials, and credible voices push back on how it's typically framed.
15 to 20 years with at least a billion dollars that's right
Every Sunday: the week’s new conflicts and verdict changes — and nothing else.
Native comments, Twitter mentions, and Reddit threads about this claim — surfaced together so the conversation isn't fragmented across platforms.
Bookmarking — the dossier-vs-overview split is the right call. Most of the time I want overview; sometimes I want receipts.
Would love a "what would change this verdict" RSS feed. Sign me up if it exists.
what's the typical length of time to go from that pre-clinical where you've now filed an ind and you now would be applying to an institutional review board to do a phase one in the normal world that takes how long usually i think probably it's fair to say 10 years 15 years
as a general rule the process we just described going from a preclinical model in animals to the completion of a phase three trial with the fda approval of an agent here's the rule of thumb i use please correct me on the vaccine side i generally say that's 20 years and 1 billion dollars