Paul Saladino· MD
and the pattern is a bell-shaped curve essentially and it kind of has to do with a model by a gentleman named William Farr Farr and if you take you can look at European countries for instance and I talked about this on a previous podcast on my podcast and you can take the average three-day rolling number of new deaths four from coronavirus and you can plot them against each other from all these different countries that had all sorts of different strategies to deal with it and what you start to see is pretty similar patterns when you normalize the number of deaths relative to the amount of people in the country or you normalize the amount of deaths relative to the highest peak value for the daily number of deaths and it looks like a bell-shaped curve in and the curves start to have about the same look to them meaning they're all about the same width which means that it crossed many countries you're seeing about the same timeframe to go up to the peak and then it stays up at the peak for a number of weeks and then it starts to decline