David Sinclair· PhD
After 85, the probability of death drops precipitously.
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The headline is broadly defensible, but the qualifications matter. Effect sizes vary by population, the strongest claims rest on shorter trials, and credible voices push back on how it's typically framed.
After 85, the probability of death drops precipitously.
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Native comments, Twitter mentions, and Reddit threads about this claim — surfaced together so the conversation isn't fragmented across platforms.
Bookmarking — the dossier-vs-overview split is the right call. Most of the time I want overview; sometimes I want receipts.
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Make it to 105 and your chance of dying stays constant.
Your risk of death increases every year of your life — until you reach 105. There, it effectively plateaus from one birthday to the next.