If the COVID-19 infection fatality rate is 0.2-0.3%, a specific number of US individuals are at risk of death.

“let's say the ifr this is how i think about it if infection fatality rate let's say it's you know 0.2.3 somewhere in that range which seems reasonable although we don't have the exact data how many people in the u.s are roughly at risk then of dying based on the population of the u.s and the ifr of the disease and i did a back of the napkin calculation a few months ago that was roughly about 1.4 million americans if that thing was the actual ifr of the disease if we didn't do anything”