The virus is likely more widespread than believed, with many asymptomatic cases, resulting in a lower actual case fatality rate.

“If rates of asymptomatic courses with SARS CoV2 are truly around 60% as both the Diamond Princess, USS TR, and antibody testing would suggest, fatality rates from this virus begin to look a lot like a seasonal flu.”

“I think the virus is much more widely spread than we believe it to be which makes the case fatality rate much lower”

“you got to take a step back and remember what it was like circa may of 2020 when the very first papers were coming out looking at zero positivity suggesting that the case fatality rate was you know infinitely lower than it had been previously identified so you know when we were first thinking about this as oh my gosh like two percent of people or eight percent of people who are getting this are dying and it's you know the realization was no it's you know eight percent of people who are wildly symptomatic are dying or right and the more we began to test people the more that number began to fall but it wasn't until serology was being done on asymptomatic people this was done in santa clara a very controversial study by john ionides it was done in new york you you basically began to see look this has got a lethality of about one in a thousand people infected”

“you you basically began to see look this has got a lethality of about one in a thousand people infected”