#COVID19 Video #11 (3/26/20)—What do COVID-19 models tell us?

Partially SupportedIn the US, influenza typically infects 25-45 million people and causes 25,000-60,000 deaths annually.

Partially SupportedA 10% decrease in COVID-19's R0 from 2.5 to 2.2 would reduce total infections from 143 million to 35 million and fatalities from 1.4 million to 333,000.

Partially SupportedModels for predicting COVID-19 spread and mortality allow manipulation of variables like population, intervention aggressiveness, weather, and infectiousness.

Partially SupportedThe R0 (infectiousness) of COVID-19 is estimated by most experts to be between 2 and 5.

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